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BJP vs Congress: Who Wins Gujarat?



Counting of votes in this year's biggest electoral battle - the Gujarat election - is just a couple of days away. Save the date: December 18.While you wait for the results, we've broken down the results of the Gujarat exit polls for you.

Squib Link predicts that BJP will comfortably win the home game in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's state.

But what are the best and worst case Gujarat election result scenarios for the BJP and the Congress? We've analyzed the exit poll results put out by other channels, and broken down the numbers for you.

Remember, the finishing line in the Gujarat election is 92 (91 + 1) seats (in a legislature with 182)

BJP's BEST CASE SCENARIO: 128 seats

Gujarat exit poll says Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party will bag as many as 128 seats - more than a two-thirds majority. If this turns out to be the case, it will be a body blow for the Congress. While it's not the 150 seat-tally that BJP President Amit Shah targeted, it's eight more seats than the party currently has in the Gujarat Assembly.

BJP'S WORST CASE SCENARIO

Now here's a statistic should please the BJP top brass: There isn't a single Gujarat exit poll that predicts a BJP loss. The least impressive projection comes from the India Today-Axis My India poll, which says 99 is the lowest number of seats the saffron party will get. That's seven more than the majority mark.

CONGRESS' BEST CASE SCENARIO

While all the Gujarat exit polls suggest that the Congress' prospects are rather gloomy, president-elect Rahul Gandhi can take heart from one statistic: Every single Gujarat exit poll predicts that the Grand Old Party's seat share will rise. The Congress currently has 43 seats in the state assembly. How many seats will the party add to that number after this Gujarat election? The India Today-Axis My India exit poll brings the gladdest tidings: It predicts a best-case tally of 82 seats - an increase of 39.

CONGRESS' WORST CASE SCENARIO

None of the Gujarat exit polls expects the Congress to get less than 52 seats - that's our worst-case projection.

AND IF WE AVERAGE ALL THE EXIT POLL RESULTS...?

The BJP still wins comfortably, with 111 seats. The Congress gets 70 seats.

Given below are the exit polls results of all the major news channels:


Picture Credits : India Today
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Location: Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh, India

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